The Hits Daily Double Thread

[NorfolkScot]

ROSS IS BOSS, JOSS IS NEXT

Def Jam/IDJ Rapper Will Easily Top Chart

August 1, 2012

Rick Ross returns this week’s HITS Album chart to a semblance of sanity.

The large and in-charge rapper continues Def Jam/IDJ’s recent dominance of the marketplace with God Forgives, I Don’t, which will debut next week with between 200-220k in sales, easily going #1. His last album, Teflon Don, sold 176k upon release in July 2010. Previous label winners include Nas, who debuted at #1 last week, and newcomer Frank Ocean, with a #2 bow last month for his acclaimed debut, channel ORANGE.

S-Curve soul diva Joss Stone’s The Soul Sessions Vol. 2 reunites her with Steve Greenberg, and it’s on tap for between 21-25k, based on one-day sales reports from those music retailers not summering at their homes in the Hamptons or Laguna.

Emblem/Reprise/WB country music group Gloriana’s sophomore album, A Thousand Miles Left Behind, is looking at first-week sales of between 18-21k.

Veteran Nuclear Blast Berkeley thrash band Testament’s tenth studio album, Dark Roots of Earth, is looking at between 15-18k.

RCA’s Sparkle soundtrack, featuring the last recorded music by the late Whitney Houston and Jordin Sparks, is looking at 13-16k, in front of the movie’s Aug. 17 opening.

Album sales were down 9% vs. last week, down 15% vs. same week last year and down 3% year to date.

Track sales were down 3% vs. last week, up 2% vs. same week last year and up 6% year to date.

TEA sales were down 7% vs. last week, down 10% vs. same week last year and down 1% year to date.

[GUS argentino78]

I hope these 2 surpass the estimations:

Joss Stone 21/25K
Whitney & Jordin 13/16K

[thebigham]

OMG at Sparkle.

[Timmy94]

200-220k for Rick Ross ? This seems to be a punch in the face for other urban superstars who are far more known but debuted with far less (Chris Brown, Usher, even Frank Ocean as his album had huuuuuge hype)...

Very disappointing results for Gloriana (their last album debuted with 44k, plus their current single is their highest charting on the Billboard Hot 100 and on the Country Chart) and the soundtrack of Sparkle (I thought Whitney Houston singing on it would create so much buzz for a 60k+ debut)...

[GUS argentino78]

200-220k for Rick Ross ? This seems to be a punch in the face for other urban superstars who are far more known but debuted with far less (Chris Brown, Usher, even Frank Ocean as his album had huuuuuge hype)...

Very disappointing results for Gloriana (their last album debuted with 44k, plus their current single is their highest charting on the Billboard Hot 100 and on the Country Chart) and the soundtrack of Sparkle (I thought Whitney Houston singing on it would create so much buzz for a 60k+ debut)...

Are you kidding? Rick Ross has amassed 4 albums (3 #1s and a #2) and a loyal fanbase. You shouldn't compare him with R&B singers. Their market is slightly different. You should compare him with other rappers.

[truthless]

200-220k for Rick Ross ? This seems to be a punch in the face for other urban superstars who are far more known but debuted with far less (Chris Brown, Usher, even Frank Ocean as his album had huuuuuge hype)...

I bet you aren't listening to Hip Hop or Urban at all...

Rick Ross is a known rapper in the US. He has many features on popular rap songs and also his own style.

[Timmy94]

Rick Ross a huge name in the hip hop business? I think artists like Drake, Eminem, Lil Wayne or Kanye West are bigger than him... Rick Ross only had a top 50 single in his last era and he even only had one top 20 single so far. Another surprising thing is that if HDD projects his sales right, it could be Rick Ross' highest debut sales with an album and not many rapper could say this if they are five or more studio albums deep in their discography.

I think R&B artists aren't that far from hip hop ones and so they can still be compared somehow. Rick Ross is even charting on the US R&B chart and had 6 top ten singles on it...

[GUS argentino78]

This is going to be his 4th #1 album, Timmy... what thing you're not getting?

And no. You should compare Rick Ross with Nas, Jay Z, Kanye West, Drake, Lil Wayne and others...

Chris Brown, Usher and Frank Ocean have a different market.

[stevyy]

poor sparcle. I'm generally underwhelmed by the sales her death generated. Whitney was one a kind, outstanding talent and force in the music industry, en par with Jackson and Madonna and at a certain time, bigger than those two combined.

I'll be buying the soundtrack.

[truthless]

Frank Ocean more known than Rick Ross?

Lmao. Made my f*cking evening.

[Lehmann]

Ricky Ross the Boss! Well Done!

Rick Ross a huge name in the hip hop business? I think artists like Drake, Eminem, Lil Wayne or Kanye West are bigger than him... Rick Ross only had a top 50 single in his last era and he even only had one top 20 single so far. Another surprising thing is that if HDD projects his sales right, it could be Rick Ross' highest debut sales with an album and not many rapper could say this if they are five or more studio albums deep in their discography.

Rick Ross doesn't care about Hot 100 hits, he runs the streets with his pure rap bangers.

[phoenix83]

Frank Ocean more known than Rick Ross?

Lmao. Made my f*cking evening.

To be fair I don't know who on earth Rick Ross is.

I rarely listen to rap though.

[Lemo]

TEA sales were down 7% vs. last week, down 10% vs. same week last year and down 1% year to date

What does this mean guys?

[Timmy94]

This week 7% less albums were bought compared to last week, 10% less albums were bought compared to the same week last year and at the same point of the year, 1% less albums were bought compared to last year.

[thebigham]

^Not really.

TEA = Track Equivalent Albums

10 tracks equals 1 album.

[joao]

TEA sales were down 7% vs. last week, down 10% vs. same week last year and down 1% year to date

What does this mean guys?

The increase on digital tracks sales is not making up for the awful loss in the album market.

[thebigham]

HITS:

Your Weakend Chart Preview:

Rick Ross easily debuts at #1 on a very top-heavy chart next week while contributing to a possible four in the Top 10 for IDJ.

Here's how it looks headed into the weekend:

*Rick Ross (Def Jam/IDJ) 210-220k
Zac Brown Band (Atlantic) 35-40k
Justin Bieber (Island/IDJ) 35-40k
Nas (Def Jam/IDJ) 30-35k
One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 30-35k
Kidz Bop Kids (Razor & Tie) 30-35k
Adele (XL/Columbia) 27-30k
Maroon 5 (A&M/Octone) 22-25k
*Joss Stone (S-Curve) 22-25k
Frank Ocean (Def Jam/IDJ) 19-22lk
*Gloriana (Emblem/Reprise) 19-22k
Linkin Park (Warner Bros.) 17-20k
Chris Brown (RCA) 17-20k
Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 17-20k
Kenny Chesney (Blue Chair/Columbia Nashville) 17-20k

[tada]

Rick Ross is very stable and still strong when it comes to opening figures!

[Willypedia]

HITS:

Your Weakend Chart Preview:

Rick Ross easily debuts at #1 on a very top-heavy chart next week while contributing to a possible four in the Top 10 for IDJ.

Here's how it looks headed into the weekend:

*Rick Ross (Def Jam/IDJ) 210-220k
Zac Brown Band (Atlantic) 35-40k
Justin Bieber (Island/IDJ) 35-40k
Nas (Def Jam/IDJ) 30-35k
One Direction (Syco/Columbia) 30-35k
Kidz Bop Kids (Razor & Tie) 30-35k
Adele (XL/Columbia) 27-30k
Maroon 5 (A&M/Octone) 22-25k
*Joss Stone (S-Curve) 22-25k
Frank Ocean (Def Jam/IDJ) 19-22lk
*Gloriana (Emblem/Reprise) 19-22k
Linkin Park (Warner Bros.) 17-20k
Chris Brown (RCA) 17-20k
Luke Bryan (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 17-20k
Kenny Chesney (Blue Chair/Columbia Nashville) 17-20k

Bo$$! Finally someone that can outsell Nicki Minaj in the best selling rap album category.

[Play]

Whoooa! If it wasn't for Rick Ross, then...

[tada]

Justin's sales start revitalizing with new single

[thebigham]

ONE year ago:

http://www.hitsdailydouble.com/sales/archcht.cgi?cht459

CHART DATE: 08/08/2011

2 1 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 76,921 -9%
21
1 2 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 55,742 -62%
CHIEF
-- 3 TRACE ADKINS SHOW DOG 46,444 --
PROUD TO BE HERE
-- 4 MAT KEARNEY AWARE/UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 45,093 --
YOUNG LOVE
-- 5 VICTORIOUS FEAT/VICTORIA JUSTICE NICKELODEON/COLUMBIA 42,517 --
SOUNDTRACK
5 6 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 40,818 -2%
MY KINDA PARTY
7 7 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 37,413 0%
KIDZ BOP 20
4 8 BEYONCE COLUMBIA 33,922 -19%
4
8 9 BLAKE SHELTON WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 25,982 -15%
RED RIVER BLUE
11 10 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 25,824 +7%
BORN THIS WAY

[thebigham]

Rick Ross is not going to outsell Nicki Minaj.

Rick Ross does not have a hit single. He's going to keep on falling...

[NorfolkScot]

NOW IN: 46.22%


LW TW artist / album label power index
-- 1 RICK ROSS DEF JAM/IDJ 129,425
GOD FORGIVES, I DON'T
-- 2 JOSS STONE S-CURVE 14,553
SOUL SESSIONS, VOL. 2
2 3 NAS DEF JAM/IDJ 14,377
LIFE IS GOOD
7 4 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 12,830
UP ALL NIGHT
1 5 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 12,381
UNCAGED
9 6 FRANK OCEAN DEF JAM/IDJ 11,097
CHANNEL ORANGE
18 7 FUN. FUELED BY RAMEN 9,256
SOME NIGHTS
6 8 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJ 8,923
BELIEVE
10 9 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 8,914
OVEREXPOSED
5 10 PASSION PIT COLUMBIA 8,253
GOSSAMER
8 11 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 7,445
21
38 12 JOHN MAYER COLUMBIA 7,070
BORN AND RAISED
-- 13 GLORIANA EMBLEM/REPRISE 6,927
THOUSAND MILES LEFT BEHIND
-- 14 IMAGINE DRAGONS INTERSCOPE 6,553
CONTINUED SILENCE EP
29 15 OF MONSTERS & MEN REPUBLIC 6,521
MY HEAD IS AN ANIMAL
11 16 LINKIN PARK WARNER BROS. 6,239
LIVING THINGS
35 17 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 5,917
SIGH NO MORE
-- 18 STEP UP REVOLUTION INTERSCOPE 5,760
SOUNDTRACK
16 19 CHRIS BROWN RCA 5,531
FORTUNE
17 20 DARK KNIGHT RISES WATERTOWER 5,228
SOUNDTRACK - HANS ZIMMER
12 21 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 5,175
TAILGATES & TANLINES
23 22 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 4,678
BLOWN AWAY
3 23 GASLIGHT ANTHEM MERCURY 4,659
HANDWRITTEN
47 24 ED SHEERAN NEW ELEKTRA 4,570
+
15 25 USHER RCA 4,521
LOOKING 4 MYSELF
13 26 KENNY CHESNEY BLUE CHAIR/COLUMBIA NASH 4,409
WELCOME TO THE FISHBOWL
19 27 MMG PRESENTS: SELF MADE, VOL. 2 MAYBACH MUSIC GROUP 4,337
VARIOUS
14 28 KATY PERRY CAPITOL/EMI 4,248
TEENAGE DREAM
-- 29 TESTAMENT NUCLEAR BLAST AMERICA 4,135
DARK ROOTS OF EARTH
4 30 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 3,855
KIDZ BOP 22
26 31 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 3,698
CHIEF
-- 32 LANA DEL REY INTERSCOPE 3,663
BORN TO DIE
-- 33 ALEX CLARE REPUBLIC 3,508
LATENESS OF THE HOUR
45 34 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 3,452
EL CAMINO
-- 35 SPARKLE RCA 3,390
SOUNDTRACK
32 36 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 3,339
MY KINDA PARTY
37 37 HUNTER HAYES ATLANTIC 3,187
HUNTER HAYES
22 38 SLIPKNOT ROADRUNNER 3,180
ANTENNA TO HELL
39 39 ALABAMA SHAKES ATO 3,122
BOYS & GIRLS
27 40 SKRILLEX BIG BEAT/ATLANTIC 3,028
BANGARANG
36 41 FLO RIDA ATLANTIC 2,989
WILD ONES
-- 42 JASON MRAZ ATLANTIC 2,931
LOVE IS A FOUR LETTER WORD
-- 43 TRAIN COLUMBIA 2,893
CALIFORNIA 37
-- 44 DRAKE YM/CM/REPUBLIC 2,701
TAKE CARE
31 45 NICKI MINAJ YM/CM/REPUBLIC 2,611
PINK FRIDAY... ROMAN RELOADED
34 46 GOTYE FAIRFAX/REPUBLIC 2,555
MAKING MIRRORS
25 47 JENNIFER LOPEZ EPIC 2,526
DANCE AGAIN... THE HITS
42 48 KELLY CLARKSON 19/RCA 2,145
STRONGER
-- 49 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 2,083
YOU GET WHAT YOU GIVE
33 50 R. KELLY RCA 2,031
WRITE ME BACK

[NorfolkScot]

NOW IN: 70.38%


LW TW artist / album label power index
-- 1 RICK ROSS DEF JAM/IDJ 132,015
GOD FORGIVES, I DON'T
1 2 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 20,975
UNCAGED
6 3 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJ 19,540
BELIEVE
7 4 ONE DIRECTION SYCO/COLUMBIA 18,122
UP ALL NIGHT
-- 5 JOSS STONE S-CURVE 14,553
SOUL SESSIONS, VOL. 2
8 6 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 14,551
21
2 7 NAS DEF JAM/IDJ 14,377
LIFE IS GOOD
-- 8 GLORIANA EMBLEM/REPRISE 12,751
THOUSAND MILES LEFT BEHIND
12 9 LUKE BRYAN CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 11,873
TAILGATES & TANLINES
13 10 KENNY CHESNEY BLUE CHAIR/COLUMBIA NASH 11,136
WELCOME TO THE FISHBOWL
9 11 FRANK OCEAN DEF JAM/IDJ 11,097
CHANNEL ORANGE
-- 12 RUSH ROADRUNNER 10,840
CLOCKWORK ANGELS
23 13 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 10,803
BLOWN AWAY
18 14 FUN. FUELED BY RAMEN 9,256
SOME NIGHTS
10 15 MAROON 5 A&M/OCTONE 8,914
OVEREXPOSED
5 16 PASSION PIT COLUMBIA 8,253
GOSSAMER
-- 17 JOSHUA RADIN MOM + POP 7,399
UNDERWATER
38 18 JOHN MAYER COLUMBIA 7,070
BORN AND RAISED
-- 19 IMAGINE DRAGONS INTERSCOPE 6,553
CONTINUED SILENCE EP
29 20 OF MONSTERS & MEN REPUBLIC 6,521
MY HEAD IS AN ANIMAL
11 21 LINKIN PARK WARNER BROS. 6,239
LIVING THINGS
32 22 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 5,926
MY KINDA PARTY
35 23 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 5,917
SIGH NO MORE
-- 24 STEP UP REVOLUTION INTERSCOPE 5,760
SOUNDTRACK
16 25 CHRIS BROWN RCA 5,531
FORTUNE
17 26 DARK KNIGHT RISES WATERTOWER 5,228
SOUNDTRACK - HANS ZIMMER
-- 27 SPARKLE RCA 5,187
SOUNDTRACK
48 28 NOW COUNTRY 5 UME 4,690
VARIOUS ARTISTS
3 29 GASLIGHT ANTHEM MERCURY 4,659
HANDWRITTEN
47 30 ED SHEERAN NEW ELEKTRA 4,570
+
15 31 USHER RCA 4,521
LOOKING 4 MYSELF
19 32 MMG PRESENTS: SELF MADE, VOL. 2 MAYBACH MUSIC GROUP 4,337
VARIOUS
14 33 KATY PERRY CAPITOL/EMI 4,248
TEENAGE DREAM
-- 34 TESTAMENT NUCLEAR BLAST AMERICA 4,135
DARK ROOTS OF EARTH
4 35 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 3,855
KIDZ BOP 22
26 36 ERIC CHURCH CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 3,698
CHIEF
-- 37 LANA DEL REY INTERSCOPE 3,663
BORN TO DIE
-- 38 ALEX CLARE REPUBLIC 3,508
LATENESS OF THE HOUR
45 39 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 3,452
EL CAMINO
37 40 HUNTER HAYES ATLANTIC 3,187
HUNTER HAYES
22 41 SLIPKNOT ROADRUNNER 3,180
ANTENNA TO HELL
39 42 ALABAMA SHAKES ATO 3,122
BOYS & GIRLS
27 43 SKRILLEX BIG BEAT/ATLANTIC 3,028
BANGARANG
36 44 FLO RIDA ATLANTIC 2,989
WILD ONES
-- 45 JASON MRAZ ATLANTIC 2,931
LOVE IS A FOUR LETTER WORD
-- 46 TRAIN COLUMBIA 2,893
CALIFORNIA 37
-- 47 DRAKE YM/CM/REPUBLIC 2,701
TAKE CARE
31 48 NICKI MINAJ YM/CM/REPUBLIC 2,611
PINK FRIDAY... ROMAN RELOADED
41 49 ALAN JACKSON CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 2,597
THIRTY MILES WEST
34 50 GOTYE FAIRFAX/REPUBLIC 2,555
MAKING MIRRORS