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Lady Gaga :: The “Chromatica” Era

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  • Million
    replied
    Originally posted by nympho View Post
    ^
    Well, even if the bundle means like only 40-50k, adding the merch bundles and all, 2nd week drop will be big.
    As it is for everyone with tour and merch bundles, so no big deal.
    Yes, I know, but what I mean is that the drop will be much smaller than if there were something like 20 or 30 dates in the US. BTW, she's coming for that 400k+ SPS debut.

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    ^
    Well, even if the bundle means like only 40-50k, adding the merch bundles and all, 2nd week drop will be big.
    As it is for everyone with tour and merch bundles, so no big deal.

    Leave a comment:


  • Million
    replied
    Originally posted by beredy View Post
    Based on other concerts on those stadium, ballpark ticket numbers:

    MetLife - 50-55k
    Wrigley Field - 42k (based on Joanne date)
    Fenway - 34k (based on 2 Joanne dates)

    126-131k US tickets. I don't think bundles are ever redeemed above 50%, so 65k from bundles best case scenario in the US IMHO.
    Which is good, she won't have a huge drop in the second week.

    Leave a comment:


  • Million
    replied
    Originally posted by Shayonce View Post

    she initially had "Physical single + Digital single" bundle. only 1 sales are counted for bundle item.
    so those sales are counted as "1" digital sales for this week, while physical single sales never won't be counted.

    and those single bundle changed to album bundle 1midweek as she announced merch album bundle.
    so around 4 days single bundle sales will be counted.
    The album bundle also counts as a copy for Stupid Love as it includes the Stupid Love (Album Version), then, a full week will be counted.

    Leave a comment:


  • beredy
    replied
    Based on other concerts on those stadium, ballpark ticket numbers:

    MetLife - 50-55k
    Wrigley Field - 42k (based on Joanne date)
    Fenway - 34k (based on 2 Joanne dates)

    126-131k US tickets. I don't think bundles are ever redeemed above 50%, so 65k from bundles best case scenario in the US IMHO.

    Leave a comment:


  • BeeBoy
    replied
    Originally posted by nympho View Post
    Tour announced!



    And she has a ticket bundle in US and Canada.


    “Every North American ticket includes a CD of Lady Gaga's upcoming release Chromatica in stores April 10th on Interscope Records.”

    Bad thing is when she finally has a ticket bundle... the tour only has 3 shows in US and 1 in Canada.

    At least they’re stadium dates.
    Good thing about it is most of the people running for those tickets will be stans, so I reckon she'll have a great redeeming percentage I can see them adding second nights in those stadiums though

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied

    Tour announced!



    And she has a ticket bundle in US and Canada.


    “Every North American ticket includes a CD of Lady Gaga's upcoming release Chromatica in stores April 10th on Interscope Records.”

    Bad thing is when she finally has a ticket bundle... the tour only has 3 shows in US and 1 in Canada.

    At least they’re stadium dates.

    Leave a comment:


  • Shayonce
    replied
    Originally posted by nympho View Post

    I don’t think physicals will add much. 10k at most?
    Besides, they’ll be shipped in 8-12 weeks. (!!!)
    I don’t think they’ll count for charts till they’re shipped. The download associated to each physical copy will count for this week, though. I guess.

    I’ve seen people really believing it’s going to be #2 because some random Twitter account posted a prediction last Sunday... But she’ll need to sell like 100k digital copies, and it won’t happen in 2020.
    So I guess they’ll be disappointed for believing those soooo early predictions.
    A top 10 debut will be great. Top 5 amazing.
    she initially had "Physical single + Digital single" bundle. only 1 sales are counted for bundle item.
    so those sales are counted as "1" digital sales for this week, while physical single sales never won't be counted.

    and those single bundle changed to album bundle midweek as she announced merch album bundle.
    so around 4 days single bundle sales will be counted.

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied


    YouTube United States Daily Chart - 2020/03/02
    20 -10 Lady Gaga - Stupid Love 1,201,696 -733,304
    28/2: 2,745,582
    29/2: 3,610,357
    1/3: 1,932,847
    2/3: 1,201,696

    YouTube 4 days total in US, according to kworb:
    ‭9,490,482‬

    Leave a comment:


  • pablob
    replied
    Spotify Charts
    Monday, March 3rd

    Global: (14) 3.038.452
    US: (15) 895.201
    UK: (17) 225.273

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    Originally posted by spiritboy View Post
    She should book a late night show in US and Graham Norton in UK. Or would it be better if she saved UK promo for UK?
    I guess they'll be saving all the promo slots closer to the album release date.

    It has debuted on Billboard dance airplay chart.

    BILLBOARD DANCE/MIX SHOW NATIONAL AIRPLAY
    35 (New) Stupid Love

    Leave a comment:


  • spiritboy
    replied
    She should book a late night show in US and Graham Norton in UK. Or would it be better if she saved UK promo for UK?

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    Originally posted by sprock93 View Post
    "On" had an amazing impact on YouTube.
    I predict 5-8 debut, thanks to a good number of physical copies shipped through her website.
    I don’t think physicals will add much. 10k at most?
    Besides, they’ll be shipped in 8-12 weeks. (!!!)
    I don’t think they’ll count for charts till they’re shipped. The download associated to each physical copy will count for this week, though. I guess.

    I’ve seen people really believing it’s going to be #2 because some random Twitter account posted a prediction last Sunday... But she’ll need to sell like 100k digital copies, and it won’t happen in 2020.
    So I guess they’ll be disappointed for believing those soooo early predictions.
    A top 10 debut will be great. Top 5 amazing.

    Leave a comment:


  • sprock93
    replied
    "On" had an amazing impact on YouTube.
    I predict 5-8 debut, thanks to a good number of physical copies shipped through her website.

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    Germany midweeks
    #18 Stupid Love

    I was expecting way worse considering the Spotify positions there.
    I guess Apple Music and specially iTunes sales are great.

    Top 20 debut would be amazing, but it’ll be Top 25 at best on Friday, I guess.

    Leave a comment:


  • beredy
    replied
    The thing you are forgetting nympho is that there's still a lag in stream data being added and she's obviously having healthy advantage in digital sales that keep her in front of the competition in these midweeks, but effectively she is behind Billie and The Box already.

    Did I say she was going to drop with new midweek though? The part you bolded was worded to say that we can already deduce she's behind once missing streaming data is included (and we have official Spotify numbers from which we can make estimates) and I think it's pretty clear I meant that.
    ​​

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    Originally posted by thebigham View Post
    USA Mediabase

    Pop Adds:

    178 LADY GAGA Stupid Love

    No radio info yet
    HAC:

    #21

    Spins: 1621 (+276 spins)

    Audience:9.499 (+1,333)


    POP

    #24 (+1)

    Spins:3655 (+596 spins)

    Audience: 19.975 (+2,279)






    Overall AI for Stupid Love:

    Formats: HAC,Top 40,AC,Dance


    Lady Gaga - Stupid Love 30.903 (+3.803)

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    Originally posted by beredy View Post
    From Robbie OCC update thread and thanks to Buzzjack.

    Tuesday Update

    Missing Data: Apple Music, Spotify and YouTube (all for Monday)

    Singles

    1 The Weeknd - Blinding Lights (31.1k)
    2 SAINt JHN - Roses (23.9k)
    3 Lady Gaga - Stupid Love (22.7k) *
    4 Billie Eilish - No Time To Die (22.3k)
    5 Roddy Ricch - The Box (20.1k)

    I'd say with yesterday's streaming she's already #5 (at least). Roddy has 1.2k more just from Spotify. With Apple and YT he's at least neck to neck with her. Unfortunately there are no numbers for positions after #5. Some other songs might be close too.
    Wednesday Update

    UK Midweek Chart

    1. Blinding Lights - 39,867

    2. Roses - 31,460

    3. Stupid Love - 28,464

    4. No Time to Die - 28,055

    5. The Box - 26,996


    Nop. Still #3.
    Yep. It’s very close 3-5 and she’ll fall... But not as bad as you predicted yesterday.
    I guess down to #4 in tomorrow’s update surpassed by The Box, or maybe even #5 behind Ellie too... And hopefully stays there till Friday.

    Leave a comment:


  • thebigham
    replied
    USA Mediabase

    Pop Adds:

    178 LADY GAGA Stupid Love

    No radio info yet

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    #1 and #14 on iTunes US. Green updates.

    Still with a 40% lead over #2 on its 6th day.

    Later this evening we’ll have the first Hot 100 predictions by Simon Falk (@simmnfierzig), although I don’t know if we should trust it much...
    Many mistakes lately.

    Last Wednesday he predicted BTS “On” to debut at #24 and then on Sunday at #13... with sales estimates of 30k.

    They debuted at #4 on Hot 100 with 85k sold...

    So I guess he’ll underestimate Gaga’s sales as well.
    Not only has she a huge lead on iTunes all week at #1 but she has the merch and physical singles bundles downloads.

    We’ll see.

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    Originally posted by nympho View Post

    According to Kworb:

    YouTube United States Daily Chart - 2020/02/29
    4 +2 Lady Gaga - Stupid Love 3,610,357 +864,77
    The last figure means it has increased 864k from the previous day, so it had 2,745,582 on 28 Feb and thus the US total is 6.3 million for those two days, or are those 3,610,357 cumulative from 28 and 29 Feb?

    I never check these YouTube charts so I have no clue.
    Originally posted by Mokichi View Post

    It's cumulative views from 28&29 Feb but I don't know the increase refers to what? maybe the comparison between Feb 27&28.


    So the first figure was not cumulative in the end but that day’s figure.
    Kworb has updated again:

    YouTube United States Daily Chart - 2020/03/01
    9 -6 Lady Gaga - Stupid Love 1,932,847 -1,684,663
    So:
    28/2: 2,745,582
    29/2: 3,610,357
    1/3: 1,932,847

    YouTube 3 days total in US:
    8,288,786

    Leave a comment:


  • nympho
    replied
    Million
    Please, stop with those kind of replies.
    That was posted three pages ago and people were already warned to stop posting non chart related comments.
    Next time, please use the report button.

    Leave a comment:


  • Million
    replied
    Originally posted by aRat View Post
    I am still baffled that they had nothing better than Stupid Luv as a comeback single. That song sounds like an Artpop reject.

    Also won't do much on the charts IMO
    Stay pressed.

    OT: Stupid Love #1 and #15 on iTunes US.

    Leave a comment:


  • beredy
    replied
    From Robbie OCC update thread and thanks to Buzzjack.

    Tuesday Update

    Missing Data: Apple Music, Spotify and YouTube (all for Monday)

    Singles

    1 The Weeknd - Blinding Lights (31.1k)
    2 SAINt JHN - Roses (23.9k)
    3 Lady Gaga - Stupid Love (22.7k) *
    4 Billie Eilish - No Time To Die (22.3k)
    5 Roddy Ricch - The Box (20.1k)

    I'd say with yesterday's streaming she's already #5 (at least). Roddy has 1.2k more just from Spotify. With Apple and YT he's at least neck to neck with her. Unfortunately there are no numbers for positions after #5. Some other songs might be close too.

    Leave a comment:

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